SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Debrecen win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for MTK had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Debrecen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Debrecen | Draw | MTK |
47.22% ( 0.3) | 24.03% ( -0.04) | 28.75% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 58.15% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.15% ( 0.02) | 43.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.76% ( 0.02) | 66.24% ( -0.02) |
| Debrecen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.28% ( 0.13) | 18.72% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.91% ( 0.21) | 50.09% ( -0.22) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.54% ( -0.17) | 28.45% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.78% ( -0.21) | 64.22% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Debrecen | Draw | MTK |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 47.22% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.75% |
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