SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Kecskemeti TE had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Kecskemeti TE win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MTK in this match.
| Result | ||
| MTK | Draw | Kecskemeti TE |
47.12% ( 0.17) | 23.75% ( -0.01) | 29.13% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 59.4% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.68% ( -0.05) | 42.32% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.28% ( -0.05) | 64.72% ( 0.05) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.84% ( 0.05) | 18.16% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.86% ( 0.08) | 49.14% ( -0.08) |
| Kecskemeti TE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( -0.13) | 27.41% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.11% ( -0.17) | 62.89% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| MTK | Draw | Kecskemeti TE |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 3.61% Total : 47.12% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 29.13% |
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