SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MTK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MTK | Draw | Fehervar |
37.97% ( 0.01) | 25.49% | 36.53% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.99% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.08% ( -0) | 47.92% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.9% ( -0) | 70.09% |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% ( 0) | 24.77% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.66% ( 0.01) | 59.34% ( -0.01) |
| Fehervar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( -0.01) | 25.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.56% ( -0.01) | 60.43% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| MTK | Draw | Fehervar |
| 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)4-0 @ 1% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.81% Total : 37.97% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 5.74% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.53% |
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