SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for MTK had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.25%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a MTK win it was 1-0 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MTK | Draw | Ferencvaros |
14.79% ( -0.2) | 20.26% ( 0.02) | 64.94% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.06% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.38% ( -0.49) | 44.62% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.02% ( -0.48) | 66.98% ( 0.47) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.51% ( -0.58) | 42.48% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.14% ( -0.5) | 78.85% ( 0.49) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% ( -0.1) | 12.96% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.55% ( -0.2) | 39.44% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| MTK | Draw | Ferencvaros |
| 1-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.56% Total : 14.79% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.26% | 0-2 @ 11.49% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.2)1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.83% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 6.7% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 4% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.42% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 1.63% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 64.94% |
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