SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Puskas Academy had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Puskas Academy win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Puskas Academy |
65.22% ( 0.19) | 19.61% ( -0.09) | 15.17% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.23% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.11% ( 0.25) | 40.89% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.72% ( 0.25) | 63.28% ( -0.25) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.24% ( 0.13) | 11.77% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.06% ( 0.27) | 36.95% ( -0.26) |
| Puskas Academy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.33% ( 0.03) | 39.67% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.65% ( 0.03) | 76.35% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Puskas Academy |
| 2-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.78% Total : 65.22% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.61% | 0-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 15.17% |
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