SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Diosgyor had a probability of 21.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Diosgyor win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fehervar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fehervar | Draw | Diosgyor |
56.15% ( 1.3) | 22.1% ( -0.46) | 21.75% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 57.36% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.47% ( 1.08) | 41.52% ( -1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.07% ( 1.09) | 63.92% ( -1.09) |
| Fehervar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.35% ( 0.8) | 14.65% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.21% ( 1.52) | 42.78% ( -1.52) |
| Diosgyor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% ( -0.16) | 32.8% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.63% ( -0.18) | 69.36% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fehervar | Draw | Diosgyor |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.97% Total : 56.15% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.09% | 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.39% Total : 21.75% |
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