While Ferencvaros should not be written off from carrying out an impressive turnaround with home advantage on their side, we expect Leverkusen to progress on Thursday.
Alonso has hugely improved the club's fortunes since replacing Gerardo Seoane earlier this season, and they undoubtedly have the pace and quality to punish the hosts in transition should they push for a goal too early on.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
