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Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 6pm UK
Groupama Arena
SR

Ferencvaros
4 - 0
Shamrock

Siger (16'), Ramirez (32'), Traore (47'), Varga (74')
Esiti (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hoare (50'), Finn (57')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Ferencvaros and Shamrock Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ferencvaros 0-3 KI
Wednesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Breidablik 2-1 Shamrock
Tuesday, July 18 at 8.15pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
FerencvarosDrawShamrock Rovers
46.16% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06) 25.14% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 28.7% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.39% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.23% (0.041999999999994 0.04)48.77% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.12% (0.038 0.04)70.88% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.85% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)21.15% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.99% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)54.01% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (0.065999999999988 0.07)31.02% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (0.076000000000001 0.08)67.32% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Ferencvaros 46.16%
    Shamrock Rovers 28.7%
    Draw 25.14%
FerencvarosDrawShamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 46.16%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 28.7%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ferencvaros 0-3 KI
Wednesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: KI 0-0 Ferencvaros
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ferencvaros 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Ferencvaros
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-0 Ferencvaros
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-1 Monaco
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Breidablik 2-1 Shamrock
Tuesday, July 18 at 8.15pm in Champions League
Last Game: Shamrock 0-1 Breidablik
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Drogheda 0-0 Shamrock
Friday, July 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 2-0 Shamrock
Friday, June 30 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Derry
Monday, June 26 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 2-2 Shamrock
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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