SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | Cape Verde |
53.52% ( 0.38) | 22.47% ( 0.02) | 24.02% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 59.1% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.4% ( -0.5) | 40.6% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.02% ( -0.51) | 62.98% ( 0.51) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.81% ( -0.05) | 15.19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.18% ( -0.09) | 43.82% ( 0.09) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( -0.59) | 30.32% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.5% ( -0.71) | 66.5% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahrain | Draw | Cape Verde |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.89% 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 53.52% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.98% Total : 24.02% |
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