SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Cape Verde |
40.25% ( 0.03) | 27.77% ( -0.02) | 31.97% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.88% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.12% ( 0.07) | 57.88% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.4% ( 0.05) | 78.6% ( -0.06) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( 0.05) | 28.15% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.16% ( 0.06) | 63.84% ( -0.07) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.64% ( 0.03) | 33.36% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.01% ( 0.03) | 69.98% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Cape Verde |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.97% |
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