While Senegal have endured a quiet start to the tournament, they boast a star-studded squad capable of finally ending their long wait for continental glory. Looking at the gulf in quality and experience between the nations, we are tipping the Lions of Teranga to comfortably claim the win in regular time.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 14.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Cape Verde win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Senegal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Senegal.
