SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philippines win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Chinese Taipei had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philippines win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Chinese Taipei win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chinese Taipei | Draw | Philippines |
31.41% ( -0.73) | 25.32% ( 0.03) | 43.27% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 55.33% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.77% ( -0.37) | 48.23% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.62% ( -0.34) | 70.38% ( 0.34) |
| Chinese Taipei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( -0.66) | 28.84% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.29% ( -0.83) | 64.7% ( 0.83) |
| Philippines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( 0.17) | 22.24% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.33% ( 0.26) | 55.67% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chinese Taipei | Draw | Philippines |
| 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.41% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.27% |
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