SM
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 10 | 34 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 10 | -6 | 17 |
| 4 | Iceland | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 10 | -11 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 10 | -27 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Faroe Islands win with a probability of 71.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 8.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Faroe Islands win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.21%) and 0-3 (10.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.76%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Faroe Islands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liechtenstein | Draw | Faroe Islands |
8.92% ( -0) | 19.74% ( 0.02) | 71.35% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 34.16% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.94% ( -0.06) | 56.07% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.86% ( -0.04) | 77.14% ( 0.05) |
| Liechtenstein Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40% ( -0.04) | 60% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.35% ( -0.02) | 90.65% ( 0.03) |
| Faroe Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.4% ( -0.02) | 14.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.3% ( -0.04) | 42.7% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liechtenstein | Draw | Faroe Islands |
| 1-0 @ 4.48% ( 0) 2-1 @ 2.2% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.1% Total : 8.92% | 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0)2-2 @ 2.12% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.74% | 0-1 @ 16.85% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 16.21% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 10.39% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 5% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.93% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 71.33% |
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