SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Moldova | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Poland | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 5 | -8 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Moldova | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Poland | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 5 | -8 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 65.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 13.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.83%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Poland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Poland.
| Result | ||
| Faroe Islands | Draw | Poland |
13.51% ( 0) | 20.82% ( 0.02) | 65.67% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.04% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.4% ( -0.05) | 49.6% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.38% ( -0.04) | 71.62% ( 0.05) |
| Faroe Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.55% ( -0.02) | 47.44% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.18% ( -0.02) | 82.82% ( 0.02) |
| Poland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.7% ( -0.02) | 14.3% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.88% ( -0.04) | 42.11% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Faroe Islands | Draw | Poland |
| 1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.67% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.89% ( 0)3-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.98% Total : 13.51% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.82% | 0-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 12.83% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0)0-3 @ 8.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.2% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.05% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.57% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 65.66% |
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