SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 2 | Albania | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Moldova | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 2 | Albania | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Moldova | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.51%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Moldova in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moldova.
| Result | ||
| Faroe Islands | Draw | Moldova |
17.97% ( 0.19) | 23.68% ( 0.11) | 58.35% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 46.32% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.82% ( -0.16) | 53.17% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.26% ( -0.13) | 74.74% ( 0.14) |
| Faroe Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.48% ( 0.13) | 43.51% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.28% ( 0.11) | 79.72% ( -0.11) |
| Moldova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82% ( -0.17) | 17.99% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.14% ( -0.29) | 48.85% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Faroe Islands | Draw | Moldova |
| 1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 17.97% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.69% Total : 23.68% | 0-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.51% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.58% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.48% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.82% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 58.33% |
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