SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Poland | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Czech Republic | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Moldova | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 6 | -10 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Poland | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Czech Republic | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Moldova | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 6 | -10 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 75.95%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 8.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 3-0 (10.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Czech Republic | Draw | Faroe Islands |
75.95% ( -0.27) | 15.56% ( 0.11) | 8.48% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 44.78% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.8% ( 0.03) | 40.2% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.43% ( 0.03) | 62.57% ( -0.03) |
| Czech Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.1% ( -0.05) | 8.89% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.58% ( -0.13) | 30.42% ( 0.13) |
| Faroe Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.16% ( 0.38) | 50.84% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.76% ( 0.26) | 85.23% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Czech Republic | Draw | Faroe Islands |
| 2-0 @ 13.23% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 4.37% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.66% Total : 75.93% | 1-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.61% Total : 15.56% | 0-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 8.48% |
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