Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 70.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Wales had a probability of 9.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.19%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.
