Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 72.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 9.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.46%) and 3-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that France would win this match.