SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 48.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Tanzania |
48.93% ( 0.1) | 26.71% ( -0.12) | 24.36% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.31% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.38% ( 0.43) | 57.63% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.61% ( 0.34) | 78.4% ( -0.33) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.37% ( 0.23) | 23.63% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.28% ( 0.34) | 57.72% ( -0.33) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.64% ( 0.25) | 39.36% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.94% ( 0.24) | 76.06% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Indonesia | Draw | Tanzania |
| 1-0 @ 13.41% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 48.93% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.44% Total : 24.36% |
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