SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Libya had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Libya win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Libya |
40.68% ( 0.02) | 27.96% ( 0) | 31.36% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.16% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.31% ( -0.03) | 58.69% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.77% ( -0.02) | 79.22% ( 0.02) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% ( -0) | 28.3% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.98% ( -0) | 64.02% ( -0) |
| Libya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.77% ( -0.03) | 34.22% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.08% ( -0.04) | 70.92% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Indonesia | Draw | Libya |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 40.68% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.36% |
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