SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Iraq | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Vietnam | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Indonesia | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Vietnam had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Vietnam win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Indonesia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vietnam | Draw | Indonesia |
29.59% ( -0.19) | 25.15% ( -0.1) | 45.26% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 54.95% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.7% ( 0.36) | 48.3% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.56% ( 0.33) | 70.44% ( -0.32) |
| Vietnam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% ( 0.05) | 30.12% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.73% ( 0.06) | 66.27% ( -0.05) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( 0.28) | 21.36% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.67% ( 0.44) | 54.33% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vietnam | Draw | Indonesia |
| 1-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.18% Total : 29.59% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 45.26% |
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