SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Indonesia had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Indonesia win was 1-0 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Iran |
25.58% ( -0.22) | 24.59% ( 0.01) | 49.83% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 53.68% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.46% ( -0.2) | 48.54% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.33% ( -0.18) | 70.66% ( 0.18) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.68% ( -0.29) | 33.31% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.06% ( -0.32) | 69.93% ( 0.31) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( 0.01) | 19.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.61% ( 0.02) | 51.38% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Indonesia | Draw | Iran |
| 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.39% Total : 25.58% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 49.83% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
