Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Kuwait had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.28%) and 1-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Kuwait win was 1-0 (13.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kuwait | Draw | Tajikistan |
32.51% ( 0.04) | 31.09% ( 0.01) | 36.4% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 39.24% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.55% ( -0.04) | 68.44% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.77% ( -0.02) | 86.22% ( 0.02) |
Kuwait Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.27% ( 0.01) | 38.72% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.54% ( 0.01) | 75.46% ( -0.01) |
Tajikistan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.03% ( -0.05) | 35.96% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.25% ( -0.05) | 72.74% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Kuwait | Draw | Tajikistan |
1-0 @ 13.21% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.57% Total : 32.51% | 0-0 @ 13.92% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 13.51% 2-2 @ 3.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 31.08% | 0-1 @ 14.24% 0-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 36.4% |
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