SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Syria win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Tajikistan had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Syria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Tajikistan win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Syria in this match.
| Result | ||
| Syria | Draw | Tajikistan |
| 47.85% | 24.49% | 27.66% |
| Both teams to score 55.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.41% | 46.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.14% | 68.86% |
| Syria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% | 19.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.54% | 51.45% |
| Tajikistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% | 30.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.11% | 66.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Syria | Draw | Tajikistan |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 9.44% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.02% Total : 47.85% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 5.99% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.08% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 3% Total : 27.66% |
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