SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Tajikistan had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.3%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Tajikistan win was 0-1 (12.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Tajikistan |
36.9% ( 0.04) | 30.02% ( -0) | 33.07% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 41.96% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.74% ( 0.01) | 65.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.93% ( 0.01) | 84.07% ( -0.01) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.1% ( 0.03) | 33.9% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.43% ( 0.04) | 70.57% ( -0.04) |
| Tajikistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.48% ( -0.02) | 36.52% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.69% ( -0.02) | 73.31% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Tajikistan |
| 1-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.37% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0)Other @ 0.48% Total : 30.01% | 0-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.91% Total : 33.07% |
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