SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kuwait win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kuwait win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kyrgyzstan | Draw | Kuwait |
20.02% ( -0.01) | 23.39% ( -0.01) | 56.6% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.54% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.7% ( 0.03) | 49.3% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.64% ( 0.03) | 71.36% ( -0.02) |
| Kyrgyzstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.05% ( 0) | 38.95% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.33% ( 0) | 75.67% ( -0) |
| Kuwait Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% ( 0.02) | 17.22% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.5% ( 0.03) | 47.5% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kyrgyzstan | Draw | Kuwait |
| 1-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.25% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.98% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.45% 3-0 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.43% Total : 20.02% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.38% | 0-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.37% 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.09% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.74% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.68% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.52% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 56.59% |
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