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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Nov 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Guangxi Sports Center
ON

China
1 - 1
Oman

Lei (21')
Linpeng (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Al Harthi (75')
Al-Khaldi (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Oman had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a China win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Oman win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
ChinaDrawOman
46.48%23.04%30.48%
Both teams to score 62.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.83%38.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.56%60.43%
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2%16.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.24%46.76%
Oman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53%24.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.08%58.92%
Score Analysis
    China 46.48%
    Oman 30.48%
    Draw 23.04%
ChinaDrawOman
2-1 @ 9.21%
1-0 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 6.54%
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-0 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.85%
4-1 @ 2.44%
4-0 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 46.48%
1-1 @ 10.32%
2-2 @ 6.48%
0-0 @ 4.11%
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.04%
1-2 @ 7.27%
0-1 @ 5.79%
0-2 @ 4.07%
1-3 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 3.04%
0-3 @ 1.91%
1-4 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 30.48%

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