SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oman win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for New Zealand had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oman win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest New Zealand win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oman | Draw | New Zealand |
44.32% ( -0.02) | 25.27% ( 0.01) | 30.4% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.98% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.54% ( -0.05) | 48.46% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.4% ( -0.05) | 70.59% ( 0.05) |
| Oman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( -0.03) | 21.85% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.91% ( -0.05) | 55.08% ( 0.04) |
| New Zealand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( -0.02) | 29.64% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.31% ( -0.03) | 65.68% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oman | Draw | New Zealand |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.32% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 30.4% |
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