SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peru in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Peru.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | New Zealand |
50.47% ( 0.07) | 27.73% ( 0.01) | 21.8% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 41.16% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.09% ( -0.07) | 62.91% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.6% ( -0.05) | 82.4% ( 0.06) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( -0) | 25.26% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.98% ( -0.01) | 60.02% ( 0.01) |
| New Zealand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.08% ( -0.12) | 44.92% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.13% ( -0.09) | 80.87% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peru | Draw | New Zealand |
| 1-0 @ 15.61% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 50.46% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 27.72% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.8% |
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