With Slovenia ranked just seven places above Bulgaria in the FIFA World rankings, we think that Qatar will cause their visitors problems, but with that little extra quality in their squad, we expect Slovenia to win out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Qatar win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Slovenia	Draw	Qatar
42.35%	24.1%	33.54%

Both teams to score 60.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58%

42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.59%

64.41%

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.96%

20.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.75%

52.25%

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.5%

24.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.04%

58.96%

Score Analysis

Slovenia 42.35%

Qatar 33.54%

Draw 24.09%

Slovenia	Draw	Qatar
2-1 @ 8.92% 1-0 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 3.36% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.02% Total : 42.35%	1-1 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.09%	1-2 @ 7.81% 0-1 @ 6.9% 0-2 @ 4.86% 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.54%