SM
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Serbia | Draw | Slovenia |
53.85% ( 0) | 27.04% ( -0) | 19.11% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.55% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.83% ( 0.03) | 63.17% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.41% ( 0.02) | 82.59% ( -0.02) |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% ( 0.01) | 23.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42% ( 0.02) | 58% ( -0.02) |
| Slovenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.93% ( 0.02) | 48.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.71% ( 0.02) | 83.29% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Serbia | Draw | Slovenia |
| 1-0 @ 16.43% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.78% 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 53.85% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 19.11% |
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