SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 11.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.83%) and 3-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovenia | Draw | Cyprus |
| 66.79% | 21.7% | 11.5% |
| Both teams to score 37.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.03% | 56.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.13% | 77.87% |
| Slovenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.61% | 16.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.97% | 46.03% |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.65% | 55.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.91% | 88.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Slovenia | Draw | Cyprus |
| 1-0 @ 16.4% 2-0 @ 14.83% 3-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 5.29% 4-0 @ 4.04% 4-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.56% 5-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.08% Total : 66.78% | 1-1 @ 9.71% 0-0 @ 9.07% 2-2 @ 2.6% Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.37% 1-2 @ 2.87% 0-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 1.68% Total : 11.5% |
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