SM
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovenia | Draw | Sweden |
48.03% ( -0.06) | 24.07% ( 0.02) | 27.9% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.39% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.43% ( -0.08) | 44.57% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.06% ( -0.07) | 66.94% ( 0.07) |
| Slovenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% ( -0.06) | 18.68% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.98% ( -0.09) | 50.01% ( 0.09) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.57% ( -0.01) | 29.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.57% ( -0.02) | 65.42% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slovenia | Draw | Sweden |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.36% Total : 48.03% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 27.9% |
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