SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Syria win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Syria win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Syria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lebanon | Draw | Syria |
| 36.87% | 25.05% | 38.08% |
| Both teams to score 57.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.12% | 45.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.81% | 68.19% |
| Lebanon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% | 24.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.13% | 58.87% |
| Syria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% | 23.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.05% | 57.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lebanon | Draw | Syria |
| 2-1 @ 8.29% 1-0 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 0.99% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.91% Total : 36.87% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% | 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-1 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 5.99% 1-3 @ 4.04% 0-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.03% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.03% Total : 38.08% |
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