Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Syria had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Syria win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
