Vietnam might be playing with less pressure than China, knowing that there is nothing at stake for them, but the Chinese have more experience and individual quality than their opponents, who cannot seem to do much more than keep a game close for a while.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for China had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest China win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vietnam would win this match.
