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J1 League | Gameweek 34
Nov 5, 2022 at 5am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
2 - 3
Kawasaki

Adailton (47', 74')
Kimoto (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wakizaka (19'), Marcinho (61'), Watanabe (75' og.)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Kawasaki Frontale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 FC Tokyo
Saturday, October 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, October 29 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 50.77%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawKawasaki Frontale
25.73% (0.942 0.94) 23.5% (-0.18 -0.18) 50.77% (-0.764 -0.76)
Both teams to score 57.42% (1.574 1.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (1.633 1.63)43.66% (-1.635 -1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95% (1.581 1.58)66.05% (-1.583 -1.58)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41% (1.637 1.64)30.58% (-1.639 -1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.18% (1.896 1.9)66.82% (-1.897 -1.9)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (0.32299999999999 0.32)17.27% (-0.325 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (0.566 0.57)47.61% (-0.568 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 25.73%
    Kawasaki Frontale 50.77%
    Draw 23.5%
FC TokyoDrawKawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 6.51% (0.192 0.19)
1-0 @ 6.26% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-0 @ 3.71% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.57% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.185 0.19)
3-0 @ 1.46% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 25.73%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.228 0.23)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.388 -0.39)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.575 -0.58)
0-2 @ 8.15% (-0.413 -0.41)
1-3 @ 5.65% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.77% (-0.188 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.35% (0.168 0.17)
1-4 @ 2.48% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.09% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 50.77%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 FC Tokyo
Saturday, October 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 4-0 Cerezo
Wednesday, October 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, October 8 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-1 FC Tokyo
Saturday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, September 18 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-1 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, September 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, October 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-1 Kyoto Sanga
Wednesday, October 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-2 Shimizu S-Pulse
Saturday, October 8 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 4-3 Kawasaki
Saturday, October 1 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Kawasaki
Saturday, September 17 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kawasaki
Wednesday, September 14 at 11.30am in J1 League


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