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J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 at 6am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
1 - 3
Kyoto Sanga

Arai (72')
Tagami (67'), Ito (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Toyokawa (28'), Patric (75', 80' pen.)
Kawasaki (16')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 3-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, June 4 at 6am in J1 League

We said: Albirex Niigata 2-1 Kyoto Sanga

Neither team heads into this match with much confidence overall, but with both teams in a desperate need of points it is going to be a crucial match that Alibrex Niigata could just edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawKyoto Sanga
51.95% (-0.341 -0.34) 24.25% (0.099 0.1) 23.8% (0.241 0.24)
Both teams to score 52.92% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34% (-0.184 -0.18)48.66% (0.185 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (-0.169 -0.17)70.78% (0.17 0.17)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29% (-0.203 -0.2)18.71% (0.202 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.93% (-0.341 -0.34)50.07% (0.341 0.34)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.09% (0.116 0.12)34.91% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.35% (0.119 0.12)71.65% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 51.95%
    Kyoto Sanga 23.8%
    Draw 24.25%
Albirex NiigataDrawKyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 10.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 51.95%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 23.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, June 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-3 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, May 20 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-1 Yokohama
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-0 Reysol
Sunday, May 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Wednesday, May 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, June 4 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-2 Urawa
Saturday, May 27 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Friday, May 19 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Cerezo
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 4-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, May 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Kawasaki
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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