J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 20, 2023 at 9am UK
Best Amenity Stadium
Ono (11'), Kawata (80' pen.)
Fujita (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Albirex Niigata.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result |
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Albirex Niigata |
32.42% ( 0.04) | 26.15% ( 0.07) | 41.43% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.01% ( -0.2) |
| 48.58% ( -0.26) | 51.42% ( 0.26) |
| 26.77% ( -0.23) | 73.23% ( 0.23) |
| 70.24% ( -0.1) | 29.76% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.17% ( -0.12) | 65.83% ( 0.12) |
| 75.46% ( -0.17) | 24.54% ( 0.17) |
