Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 47%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
0.22) 
-0.35) 
