Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Albirex Niigata
34.1% ( -0.52)	26.71% ( -0.12)	39.19% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 51.62% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.61% (

0.4)

53.38% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.08% (

0.33)

74.92% (

-0.34)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35% (

-0.13)

29.65% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.3% (

-0.16)

65.69% (

0.16)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37% (

0.54)

26.63% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.14% (

0.71)

61.86% (

-0.71)

Score Analysis

Shonan Bellmare 34.1%

Albirex Niigata 39.18%

Draw 26.71%

Shonan Bellmare	Draw	Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.1%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.18%