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J1 League | Gameweek 16
Jun 4, 2023 at 6am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
3 - 1
Kyoto Sanga

Chajima (59', 71'), Kawamura (90+3')
Sasaki (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toyokawa (69')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyoto Sanga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Hiroshima
Wednesday, May 31 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-2 Urawa
Saturday, May 27 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 69.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 11.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.25%) and 3-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawKyoto Sanga
69.47% (0.31700000000001 0.32) 19.26% (-0.058 -0.06) 11.27% (-0.262 -0.26)
Both teams to score 43.24% (-0.655 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.67% (-0.413 -0.41)48.33% (0.411 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.52% (-0.38 -0.38)70.47% (0.37599999999999 0.38)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.22% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)12.77% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.94% (-0.067 -0.07)39.06% (0.064 0.06)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.57% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)50.43% (0.73 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.04% (-0.509 -0.51)84.95% (0.50500000000001 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 69.46%
    Kyoto Sanga 11.27%
    Draw 19.26%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawKyoto Sanga
2-0 @ 13.63% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 13.25% (0.21 0.21)
3-0 @ 9.36% (0.125 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.81% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.98% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 69.46%
1-1 @ 9.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 19.26%
0-1 @ 4.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.11% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-2 @ 1.51% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 11.27%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Hiroshima
Wednesday, May 31 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, May 27 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, May 20 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, May 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, May 7 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-2 Urawa
Saturday, May 27 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Friday, May 19 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Cerezo
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 4-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, May 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Kawasaki
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League


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