Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.
