SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 47.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Vegalta Sendai win it was 1-0 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Avispa Fukuoka in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vegalta Sendai | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
| 24.45% | 27.63% | 47.91% |
| Both teams to score 43.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.28% | 60.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.22% | 80.78% |
| Vegalta Sendai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.97% | 41.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.42% | 77.57% |
| Avispa Fukuoka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% | 25.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.67% | 60.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vegalta Sendai | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% 2-1 @ 5.67% 2-0 @ 4.15% 3-1 @ 1.69% 3-0 @ 1.23% 3-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.25% Total : 24.45% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.57% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 14.29% 0-2 @ 9.77% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-3 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.52% 1-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.08% Total : 47.9% |
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