Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 47.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Vegalta Sendai win it was 1-0 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Avispa Fukuoka in this match.