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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Apr 14, 2021 at 11am UK
Todoroki Athletics Stadium

Kawasaki
3 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

Tono (19'), Chinen (55'), Yamane (90+5')
Taniguchi (45+2'), Kurumaya (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Salomonsson (45+3')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Avispa Fukuoka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 74.76%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 8.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.99%) and 3-0 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawAvispa Fukuoka
74.76%16.77%8.47%
Both teams to score 40.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.19%45.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.87%68.13%
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.38%10.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.57%34.43%
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.41%54.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.37%87.63%
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 74.73%
    Avispa Fukuoka 8.47%
    Draw 16.77%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawAvispa Fukuoka
2-0 @ 14.57%
1-0 @ 12.99%
3-0 @ 10.89%
2-1 @ 8.82%
3-1 @ 6.6%
4-0 @ 6.11%
4-1 @ 3.7%
5-0 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2%
5-1 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.12%
6-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 74.73%
1-1 @ 7.87%
0-0 @ 5.8%
2-2 @ 2.67%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 16.77%
0-1 @ 3.51%
1-2 @ 2.38%
0-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 8.47%

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