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J1 League | Gameweek 11
Apr 24, 2021 at 6am UK
Hiroshima Big Arch

Hiroshima
1 - 2
Avispa Fukuoka

Higashi (28')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mendes (9'), Mae (58')
Nara (90')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
52.29%26.29%21.42%
Both teams to score 44.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.4%58.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.84%79.16%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45%22.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.87%56.13%
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.19%42.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.87%79.12%
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 52.28%
    Avispa Fukuoka 21.42%
    Draw 26.28%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 14.37%
2-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.09%
3-0 @ 5.32%
3-1 @ 4.51%
4-0 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 52.28%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 9.65%
2-2 @ 3.85%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 8.19%
1-2 @ 5.18%
0-2 @ 3.47%
1-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.09%
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.42%

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