Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.