Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.