Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 44.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 26.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
