Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 45%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 25.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.11%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 1-0 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.