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J1 League | Gameweek 17
May 30, 2021 at 7am UK
Oita Bank Dome

Oita Trinita
2 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

Nagasawa (7'), Trevisan (70')
Kobayashi (15'), Kagawa (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Croux (77' pen.)
Watari (37'), Miya (89')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Oita Trinita and Avispa Fukuoka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 45%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.11%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 1-0 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Oita TrinitaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
25.21%29.79%45%
Both teams to score 39.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.18%66.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.86%85.14%
Oita Trinita Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.14%43.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.99%80.01%
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09%29.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34%66%
Score Analysis
    Oita Trinita 25.2%
    Avispa Fukuoka 44.99%
    Draw 29.78%
Oita TrinitaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 5.38%
2-0 @ 4.46%
3-1 @ 1.48%
3-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 25.2%
0-0 @ 13.11%
1-1 @ 13.04%
2-2 @ 3.25%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 29.78%
0-1 @ 15.83%
0-2 @ 9.56%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-3 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.16%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 44.99%

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