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J1 League | Gameweek 31
Oct 28, 2023 at 6am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai
GO

Cerezo
1 - 0
Gamba Osaka

Ceara (8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lavi (41'), Dawhan (90+4')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 0-0 Cerezo
Saturday, October 21 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, October 21 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 19.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawGamba Osaka
59.11% (0.16 0.16) 20.95% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03) 19.94% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 58.52% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.33% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)38.67% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.03% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)60.97% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (0.039000000000001 0.04)12.8% (-0.036 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.88% (0.076000000000001 0.08)39.12% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)32.88% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (-0.154 -0.15)69.46% (0.15899999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 59.11%
    Gamba Osaka 19.94%
    Draw 20.95%
Cerezo OsakaDrawGamba Osaka
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.89% (0.038 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.78% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.09% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.48% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 59.11%
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.21% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.95%
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.68% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 19.94%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Hiroshima 0-0 Cerezo
Saturday, October 21 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, September 30 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-0 Cerezo
Saturday, September 23 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Cerezo
Saturday, September 16 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 3-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, September 2 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 3-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, August 26 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, October 21 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 3-0 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-3 Urawa
Sunday, September 24 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Albirex Niigata
Sunday, September 17 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 4-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, September 2 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League


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