SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
59.11% ( 0.16) | 20.95% ( -0.03) | 19.94% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 58.52% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.33% ( -0.03) | 38.67% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.03% ( -0.03) | 60.97% ( 0.04) |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.2% ( 0.04) | 12.8% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.88% ( 0.08) | 39.12% ( -0.07) |
| Gamba Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.12% ( -0.14) | 32.88% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.54% ( -0.15) | 69.46% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.75% Total : 59.11% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.95% | 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 19.94% |
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